Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.792349 2.168568 2.575986 3.046778 3.572627 4.138865 4.791631
2025-01-26 1.220576 1.711797 2.293824 3.020038 3.887865 4.878459 6.081322
2025-02-02 0.861998 1.402908 2.101674 3.035247 4.215642 5.626640 7.408574
2025-02-09 0.574862 1.104839 1.855308 2.927933 4.357296 6.137397 8.462238
2025-02-16 0.381426 0.878657 1.652583 2.832464 4.481346 6.609235 9.467837
2025-02-23 0.266711 0.737201 1.538207 2.831034 4.711518 7.209409 10.640721
2025-03-02 0.175105 0.600142 1.399241 2.767181 4.836988 7.663256 11.627240
2025-03-09 0.135076 0.551066 1.394402 2.900055 5.240815 8.496587 13.125747
2025-03-16 0.091092 0.469892 1.314299 2.899061 5.440601 9.049551 14.258783
2025-03-23 0.072840 0.447563 1.339980 3.071003 5.902923 9.976787 15.912227
2025-03-30 0.054300 0.412579 1.332521 3.182124 6.272619 10.779182 17.408672
2025-04-06 0.036634 0.365731 1.289583 3.223695 6.531088 11.424985 18.698666
2025-04-13 0.020211 0.303796 1.200671 3.176214 6.650994 11.883119 19.754308
2025-04-20 0.012478 0.272567 1.177361 3.248095 6.965981 12.634649 21.236088
2025-04-27 0.007137 0.243811 1.152872 3.313552 7.270494 13.375675 22.714467
2025-05-04 0.002361 0.194481 1.056600 3.223420 7.305653 13.710145 23.617274
2025-05-11 0.000436 0.153046 0.966624 3.132909 7.330861 14.024952 24.492481
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.129279 0.923771 3.136963 7.518362 14.590055 25.736237
2025-05-25 NaN 0.101703 0.854045 3.071190 7.575040 14.949609 26.682240
2025-06-01 NaN 0.097543 0.874509 3.215060 8.016494 15.920927 28.540458
2025-06-08 NaN 0.081203 0.836124 3.214656 8.190877 16.471294 29.782187
2025-06-15 NaN 0.081315 0.872789 3.399273 8.714839 17.586831 31.876341
2025-06-22 NaN 0.076284 0.882936 3.518424 9.118494 18.515191 33.701072